Unredacted.
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The RecordExhibit 85

Outcomes & warning signs

Tariffs cost households $1,000 to $1,750 in 2025

Measured trendLast checked Sep 30, 2026

Measured trend means: A documented outcome or statistic, not a legal claim. How much of it is caused by administration policy is debated.

Nonpartisan estimates put the 2025 cost of Trump's tariffs at about $1,000 per household (Tax Foundation) to $1,751 (Yale Budget Lab).

What happened

The New York Fed estimated about 90% of the economic burden fell on U.S. consumers and businesses, not foreign exporters.

Where it stands

Estimates vary by method. The Supreme Court struck down the biggest tariffs in February 2026, but replacement tariffs followed.

The administration's side

Trump says foreign countries pay the tariffs, and frames them as raising revenue and bringing manufacturing jobs home.

Sources

See it in the timeline

Permanent link: https://unredactedrecord.com/e/tariffcost/